(Sigh) I know I'm supposed to supposed to be doing these predictions. I know I usually wait until the last second, anyway but..., I gotta ask, does anybody actually care about the Emmys this year?
And, no, I don't want to hear the obnoxious, "We never care about award shows!" "They're stupid!" "They're not accurate; it's all political"..., no, none of that obnoxious, I hate award shows bullshit. I get it every year, and not one of their arguments has ever impressed me; people who complain about award shows like that are the same morons that tell pro wrestling fans that it's fake. One, you're not surprising anybody with that revelation, and two, movies and television shows are also made up pieces of bullshit, how exactly is an award show, different?! Ugh!
Anyway, I don't mean, that, don't care about the Emmys; I mean, does anybody really care, this year. 'Cause I know I don't. I'm gonna watch whatever we scrounge together for a program this year, but with everything going on, the pandemic, the moron-in-chief, protesters being attacked by cops, the fucking sky burning to death,- like, has anybody really watched or cared about any of these shows this year? Could you if you even wanted to?
Look, it's not television's fault, but I'm not gonna stretch this out, this has been a terrible year for television and I'm just tired of it all. There's like, four, maybe five really great shows here, and nothing's awful as far as I can tell, actually, but I can count on one hand the number of great shows out there right now on one hand, and some of them aren't even nominated this year.... ("This is Us" got screwed!) And we've been heading in this direction for awhile, streaming is just now an consumate growing blob of good but short-term planned series that always inevitably feel like they're lacking, even if sComedyomehow they aren't. I like the new rule changes for these Emmys, and hopefully next year's show I'll really be caring about this again, but normally, I would tell the Emmys, "Hey, it's been rough this year, you've all been pretty good, but let's take the year off on this?"
I mean, if there's ever a year to do that, shouldn't this be the year?
Oh well, we're going on anyway, and you know what, it's a distraction and we all need hundreds of those now, and better this then the VMAs. (Seriously why did they even bother with that?) And who knows, once we can all actually, mentally take a break from all our worries, perhaps some of these shows will indeed help a lot.
Alright, we're separating into genre categories, only the big ones, blah, blah, blah, predictions and preferences aren't the same thing, let's go through this:
OUTSTANDING COMEDY SERIES
Curb Your Enthusiasm-HBO
Dead to Me-Netflix
The Good Place-NBC
The Kominsky Method-Netflix
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel-Prime Video
What We Do in the Shadows-FX Networks
I still haven't caught "What We Do in the Shadows"; I'm still debating whether to jump the movie on my Netflix queue first or watch the TV show first. (If anybody has thoughts on it, I'll put a poll out in a few FB groups.) Gold Derby, who had the inside scoop on "Schitt's Creek" last year, and for this, they're final season, they're apparently the favorites. (Shrugs) Eh, I can't get into this show. Like, it's not bad, best comedy on TV? I think I'd literally put this seventh on the list compared to everything else. I've tried, and I love it's stars, but this is a far more forgettable show then I think people realize. Although I can say that for a few of these series this year. I like "Dead to Me" last year, but this year, but this year it got into series, and frankly, it's...- well, it's used bad ideas I've used in my writing, so I'm little ehhh-, this was a one season-idea and now that they think it's a series, issue. I haven't seen the last season of "The Good Place" yet, but I thought that would've been the favorite especially for it's final season, which was planned ahead of time, thank god, "Schitt's Creek" is the Gold Derby favorite, and I'm just go with that. Not sure what'll replace those shows next year, maybe keep an eye out for "PEN15" out of nowhere next time. Nothing else, feels like it can pull it off, with the exception of "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel", which in a just world should win this, and probably every Emmy category easily.PREDICTION: "Schitt's Creek"
PREFERENCE: "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"
Don Cheadle-"Black Monday"-Showtime
Ted Danson-"The Good Place"-NBC
Michael Douglas-"The Kominsky Method"-Netflix
Eugene Levy-"Schitt's Creek"-PopTV
I don't know what's weirder, that Don Cheadle keeps getting nominated for all these Showtime series that nobody else seems to watch every year, (Even though "House of Lies" was pretty good) or that he's been so busy doing these television shows so often now, that frankly I never see him in movies anymore, and I miss seeing Don Cheadle in movies. I miss that a lot. I don't know, maybe this is his year? Ramy Youseff won the surprise Golden Globe earlier; that show did over-perform, I think he's got a shot, but he's up against three actors from series that are in the Comedy Series race. I guess there is a bit of pressure to award Eugene Levy as well as O'Hara. Weirdly, he's not listed as a producer, so this would be his only shot. I think Ted Danson could play spoiler too here. A lot of people love that performance, it's their last chance to honor and they actually haven't honored him as much as you'd think over the years. Of his 17 acting nominations over the year, fourteen in this category, he's only won one career Emmy, and that was for the last season of "Cheers".
PREDICTION: Eugene Levy-"Schitt's Creek"
PREFERENCE: Ted Danson-"The Good Place"
Christina Applegate-"Dead to Me"-Netflix
Rachel Brosnahan-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"-Prime Video
Linda Cardellini-"Dead to Me"-Netflix
Catherine O'Hara-"Schitt's Creek"-Prime Video
Tracee Ellis Ross-"black-ish"-ABC
I'm happy to see this bunch of nominees, there's not a bad one in the bunch. Catherine O'Hara seems to be the favorite, both on the odds and on the sentimental market. Admittedly it does feel like if she doesn't win, it's gonna be distressingly like that scene from "For Your Consideration". I think if there is a really interesting spoiler, Linda Cardellini could be this year's Jodie Comer; her role on "Dead to Me" is just as good and important as Applegate's if not moreso. Those are two TV veterans who have long not gotten their due either, so it'd be nice to see one of them win.
PREDICTION: Catherine O'Hara-"Schitt's Creek"
PREFERENCE: Rachel Brosnahan-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"
Alan Arkin-"The Kominsky Method"-Netflix
Andre Braugher-"Brooklyn Nine-Nine"-NBC
Sterling K. Brown-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"-Prime Video
William Jackson Harper-"The Good Place"-NBC
Daniel Levy-"Schitt's Creek"-PopTV
Tony Shalhoub-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"-Prime Video
Kenan Thompson-"Saturday Night Live"-NBC
The fact that Andre Braugher found his way back into this category after a few years missing, and nearly no other nomination ever come for "Brooklyn Nine-Nine" feels like a clue to those conspiracy theorists that think that there's like, a already preplanned list out there on who to nominate and win. Or more precisely, there's an audience, they like certain shows and certain people in a certain order and they nominate accordingly regardless of whatever else is out there. There's are a few newcomers otherwise here, Mahershala Ali, Daniel Levy, William Jackson Harper, Sterling K. Brown is particularly shocking for me; I loved him on "...Maisel", but I would've sworn that if Sterling got in, then LeRoy McClain would've gotten into Guest Actor? Oh well, Brown becomes the first person ever nominated for Emmys in Comedy and Drama Series regular recurring role categories in the same year; one more accomplishment for him. Gold Derby has Dan Levy ahead, but he's got other places he can probably win. Tony Shalhoub always sneaks into SAG despite being a Supporting Role, and I think he's the favorite. I wouldn't be too shocked by Kenan Thompson though, pulling off an upset.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Tony Shalhoub-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
D'Arcy Carden-"The Good Place"-NBC
Marin Hinkle-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"-Prime Video
Kate McKinnon-"Saturday Night Live"-NBC
Anne Murphy-"Schitt's Creek"-PopTV
Cecily Strong-"Saturday Night Live"-NBC
The same way that Andre Braugher constantly being the only person ever honored for "Brooklyn Nine-Nine", I'm constantly confused as to why Betty Gilpin is the only person ever nominated for "GLOW" anymore. (Seriously, how is that show constantly ignored; it's one of like, four shows I genuinely go out of my way for every time. Sorry Alison Brie and Marc Maron keep getting screwed) Anyway, Alex Borstein has won this category two years in a row, and she's the favorite to win it again. Anne Murphy is the 2nd choice according to the odds. Seems really hard to bet against her. I guess I could see Yvonne Orji sneaking in here. Maybe D'Arcy Carden if she picks the right episode; they might want to honor her also for "Barry" since that's not eligible at the moment, but I Alex Borstein's emmy until she doesn't want it anymore.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Alex Borstein-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel-Amy Sherman-Palladino-"It's Comedy or Cabbage"-Prime Video
The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel-Daniel Palladino-"Marvelous Radio"-Prime Video
Modern Family-Gail Mancuso-"Finale Part 2"-ABC
Schitt's Creek-Daniel Levy-"Happy Ending"-PopTV
Will & Grace-James Burrows-"We Love Lucy"-NBC
This is a tricky category; I'm not sure who's the favorite. I guess I'm leaning towards the Series nominees, but we only got two, "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel" and "Schitt's Creek" finale. This might be where they decide to award Daniel Levy. I could see something weird like the "Modern Family" finale sneaking in. James Burrows earned his 848th nomination since they added the minimum one multicam sitcom rule to the category, and it is nice to see "Will & Grace" get something again. When's the last time somebody won this category without a Series nomination? "Pushing Daisies", I think... Hmm, that was Barry Sonnenfeld, that was a big name, and a pilot.... I don't think Matt Shakman is a big enough name to pull that off? He's been around forever though, so maybe.... Eh, I'm just gonna stick with paint.
PREDICTION: "Schitt's Creek"-"Happy Ending"
PREFERENCE: "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"-"It's Comedy or Cabbage"
The Great-Tony McNamara-"The Great"-Hulu
Schitt's Creek-Daniel Levy-"Happy Ending"-PopTV
Schitt's Creek-David West Read-"The Presidential Suite-PopTV
What We Do In The Shadows-Sam Johnson, Chris Marcil-"Collaboration"-FX Networks
What We Do In The Shadows-Paul Simms-"Ghosts"-FX Networks
What We Do In The Shadows-Stefani Robinson-"On the Run"-FX Networks
So, the writers, really like "What We Do In the Shadows". Wow; it's been a long time since a series got that many nominations in this category. I was trying to find the last scenario where a comedy series without any acting nominations, just to give "WWDITS" a little hope; I thought maybe it was "Arrested Development", but no, actually it was "The Wonder Years". Yeah, that long ago, and I was actually shocked by that; I would've at least thought somebody would've been nominated for acting that year, but-eh, it won for it's debut season which was only six episodes long, so the acting noms came the next year. It did get into Writing that year? (Shrugs) Eh, I'm gonna shot here and say that "Schitt's Creek" can't win everything.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "The Good Place"-"Whenever You're Ready"
By the time this blogpost is posted some of these awards, might've already been given out at the Creative Arts Emmys, which you can watch, on Youtube, literally every day, because they're spreading them out over five days this year.... (Shrugs) Whatever, fine, but some of them I think are important and big enough that they should probably be major awards anyway, so I'm gonna keep them here. Don't worry, I won't cheat on these predictions; I filled out a Creative Arts Gold Derby ballot this year to keep me honest. Anyway, Fred Willard's posthumous nomination is kinda the only one here I'm genuinely worried about. It'd be nice to see him win, but against three "SNL" performances, as well as last year's winner Luke Kirby for his wonderful portrayal of Lenny Bruce, I just don't see it. Dev Patel was also really good on "Modern Love", btw; that's a good show too, worth seeking out. It was kind of a modern-day "Love, American Style", and done by the guy that did "Once" and "Sing Street", so, really awesome. But yeah, this is an easy call and if anybody other then Eddie Murphy wins this, I'm gonna call foul.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Eddie Murphy-"Saturday Night Live"
Bette Midler-"The Politician"-Netflix
Maya Rudolph-"The Good Place"-NBC
Maya Rudolph-"Saturday Night Live"-NBC
Wanda Sykes-"The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel"-Prime Video
Phoebe Waller-Bridge-"Saturday Night Live"-NBC
This one is a little more up in the air. Wanda Sykes is listed as the favorite at 3/1 on Gold Derby, which kinda surprised me honestly, she's barely in "The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel", even though she is very good as Moms Mabley; if she had more screen time; I'd be predicting and cheering for her. There's three nominations from the Variety sketch categories, Angela Bassett for "A Black Lady Sketch Show" being the surprise one here. I thought she might've had a better shot at Narrator this year, but she lost that one. Maya Rudolph became the first person to get two nominations in the category, one for "The Good Place" and a second for her performance as Kamala Harris, which honestly I kinda worried about; that was a vicious performance. I haven't seen "The Politician" but I can't imagine that show getting more then the nomination. I'm prediction Rudolph for "The Good Place", but I am worried that I'm predicting her for the wrong show, but....
PREDICTION: Maya Rudolph-"The Good Place
PREFERENCE: Angela Bassett-"A Black Lady Sketch Show"
OUTSTANDING DRAMA SERIES
Better Call Saul-AMC
The Handmaid's Tale-Hulu
Killing Eve-BBC America
I did manage to watch "The Mandalorian"; I wasn't going to, but they decided to nominate the damn thing and I ended up having Disney+ that month, but it is actually pretty good. I don't know why it's nominated though. I liked it more then this season's "The Crown", which I thought was a vast downgrade from the year before. I still have to watch "Ozark" and "Succession", I'm only now getting into "Killing Eve", but I totally get why that's holding on. I'm sure it's gonna get repetitive by now, but let me be clear, this is a very weak year in the category. Even "The Handmaid's Tale", which is really one of the few really great shows on TV, it's just hard-to-watch and more depressing and annoying then it might be good, although this last season was really good, but ehh.... It doesn't seem to matter really, this seems to be "Succession"'s year. Also, why is "Stranger Things" still nominated?! (Sigh) Alright, I'm just come out and say, "Stranger Things" sucks! I'm sorry, this show barely worked it's first season and there's nothing worth watching with this afterwards. Is it this bad '80s aesthetic and nostalgia, 'cause let me tell, most of those '80s movies that they're influenced by, they sucked too, and I don't want to keep seeing it. How did this shit keep getting in, but "This is Us" suddenly falls off!? Terrible drama series year.
PREFERENCE: "The Handmaid's Tale"
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Sterling K. Brown-"This is Us"-NBC
Steve Carell-"The Morning Show"-Apple TV
Billy Porter-"Pose"-FX Networks
I haven't seen "The Morning Show yet, although I definitely want to, and I'm definitely cheering for Steve Carell to finally win something. It's long overdue. Billy Porter's back-, I gotta give "Pose" a second look; I only saw the first episode. (Shrugs) He's good; I just have a low tolerance for Ryan Murphy's bullshit, although honestly I just don't think I completely got it. Jason Bateman won for Directing in a surprise win last year, but "Ozark" is the probably the show that's the second choice for most, but two "Succession" nominees; that feels like a sign that one of them will win.
PREDICTION: Brian Cox-"Succession"
PREFERENCE: Steve Carell-"The Morning Show"
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jennifer Aniston-"The Morning Show"-Apple TV
Olivia Colman-"The Crown"-Netflix
Jodie Comer-"Killing Eve"-BBC America
Sandra Oh-"Killing Eve"-BBC America
As much as I was saddened that Sandra Oh has been keeping up her losing streak last year, 'cause I've been following her greatness since "Arli$$" and it's just been long overdue for her to get something, as soon as I started watching "Killing Eve", I totally got why her co-star beat her last year. This is a tricky category and I'm not sure where exactly it's going. Olivia Colman is kinda the obvious pick, 'cause she wins everything, but I'll be straight, I really didn't care for "The Crown" this season. I loved the first two seasons, but I don't know, this still feels like a big downgrade to me. Not because of her, but the series just, well, it mostly just kinda slogged this year. Even the good episodes. (Then again, maybe that's just me and everything kinda did.) BTW, I'm not sure how "The Morning Show" got so many big nominations and yet didn't get into Series, that's- that's weird. I haven't seen it yet, I don't have AppleTV yet, but it looks good. Laura Linney's the favorite for "Ozark"; she does win a lot at the Emmys, even when it's not expected, so perhaps... Honestly, I'm kinda just thinking, why not take the gamble on Zendaya pulling this off, but....
PREDICTION: Laura Linney-"Ozark"
PREFERENCE: Jodie Comer-"Killing Eve"
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Billy Crudup-"The Morning Show"-Apple TV
Mark Duplass-"The Morning Show"-Apple TV
Giancarlo Esposito-"Better Call Saul"-AMC
Bradley Whitford-"The Handmaid's Tale"-Hulu
I keep trying to figure out where to put a "The Morning Show" win, I feel like there's going be one in some major acting category, but I'll be damned if I can figure out where. Billy Crudup is the Gold Derby favorite, so they have it in this category, which makes sense, but this is a tough, loaded field. There's three "Succession" actors here as well, plus Bradley Whitford, who won Guest Actor for his "The Handmaid's Tale" role last year, which was also this previous season of "The Handmaid's Tale", so I'm not sure they want to give him two Emmys for the same season.
PREDICTION: Billy Crudup-"The Morning Show"
PREFERENCE: Giancarlo Esposito-"Better Call Saul"
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Helena Bonham Carter-"The Crown"-Hulu
Laura Dern-"Big Little Lies"-HBO
Fiona Shaw-"Killing Eve"-BBC America
Meryl Streep-""Big Little Lies"-HBO
Samara Wiley-"The Handmaid's Tale"-Hulu
Boy, "Big Little Lies" really underperformed. I'm not sure why, but this is a helluva category. Thandie Newton, a past winner, Samara Wiley, won this performance in Guest Actress, two years ago, she's bumped up to regular, so two past winners there. Julia Garner, I think could play spoiler; this seems like one of the categories "Ozark" could win, other then some technical and crafts. Honestly, despite my issues with "The Crown" this year, I love Helena Bonham Carter in the show and she was the best part and the reason I will probably watch it again. Sorry, Meryl.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Helena Bonham Carter-"The Crown"
OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A DRAMA SERIES
The Crown-Benjamin Caron-"Aberfan"-Netflix
The Crown-Jessica Hobbs-"Cri de Coeur"-Netflix
Homeland-Lesli Linka Glatter-"Prisoners of War"-Showtime
The Morning Show-Mimi Leder-"The Interview"-Apple TV
Ozark-Alik Sakharvo-"Fire Pink"-Netflix
Ozark-Ben Semenoff-"Su Casa Es Mi Casa-Netflix
Succession-Mark Mylod-"This Is Not For Tears"-HBO
Two "The Crown", two "Ozark" and two "Succession". nominees to sort through, plus two non-Best Drama Series nominees, who both could play spoiler. Occasionally finale and pilots always do a little better in these categories and we got the series finale of "Homeland", thank fucking Christ finally,- (Can anybody believe that that actually won Best Series in its debut season anymore; and it beat Season four of "Breaking Bad" to do it? What in the hell were we thinking?!) and curiously the season finale episdoe of "The Morning Show". In the past, when there were required screenings I might've thought "Homeland" or "The Morning Show" could pull off the upset through a split vote, but I think one of the dual nominees will win this. "Ozark" had a surprised win last year and they've always been beloved by the Directors branch and I think that's probably the one that they like more then the other two. Gold Derby has "This is Not for Tears" ahead of "Aberfan" which is the best shot for "The Crown", but I think the Directors go with "Ozark"
PREDICTION: "Ozark"-"Fire Pink"
PREFERENCE: "The Crown"-"Aberfan"
OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A DRAMA SERIES
Better Call Saul-Thomas Schnauz-"Bad Choice Road"-AMC
Better Call Saul-Gordon Smart-"Bagman"-AMC
The Crown-Peter Morgan-"Aberfan"-Netflix
Ozark-Chris Mundy-"All In"-Netflix
Ozark-John Shiban-"Boss Fight'-Netflix
Ozark-Miki Johnson-"Fire Pink"-Netflix
Succession-Jesse Armstrong-"This is Not for Tears"-HBO
Okay, now the writers like "Ozark". It's good to see that they at least still like "Better Call Saul", even if it does seem keep dragging and meandering onto inevitability; it's still one of the best shows on TV. BTW, acting branch, what the hell do you have guys against Rhee Seehorn; she should've won at least one Emmy by now! Anyway, hmm, I guess this is where the split vote would help "Succession". Peter Morgan for "The Crown" could be a spoiler here, that was the best episode of "The Crown", but yeah, I think "Succession"'s the favorite here.
PREDICTION: "Succession"-"This Is Not for Tears"
PREFERENCE: "Better Call Saul"-"Bagman"
OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES
Jason Bateman-"The Outsider"-HBO
Ron Cephas Jones-"This is Us"-NBC
Giancarlo Esposito-"The Mandalorian"-Disney+
Andrew Scott-"Black Mirror"-Netflix
Martin Short-"The Morning Show"-Apple TV
I'm not sure why Giancarlo Esposito was the performance from "The Mandalorian" that stuck out, but okay, whatever. Most of my thoughts on "The Mandalorian" were that it was pretty good and I would've probably liked it if it wasn't in the "Star Wars" universe, and it honestly didn''t really have to be. I mean, replace Baby Yoda, with, you know, any random MaGuffin and it would've worked fine, even better probably, since I wouldn't have to fucking dive headfirst into a 50-year-old overrated-as-fuck sci-fi franchise that just never fucking dies. (And no, I haven't seen the latest movie yet, that's basically how I've always felt with "Star Wars") Anyway, it was a good story though. I think the sentimental vote will probably go to James Cromwell; "Succession"'s the only Series nominee in the category, which I just realized is weird. What the hell even is "The Outsider"? (IMDB search) Well, good cast and it's- oh dammit, another one of these series based around solving a single mystery?! Goddammit, we don't people get that those don't and have never worked as long-running drama series! (Yes, I am including "Twin Peaks" in that statement; that works the length of a movie, not for a fucking weekly series!)
PREDICTION: James Cromwell-"Succession"
PREFERENCE: Martin Short-"The Morning Show"
OUTSTANDING GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES
Alexis Bledel-"The Handmaid's Tale"-Hulu
Laverne Cox-"Orange is the New Black"-Netflix
Phylicia Rashad-"This is Us"-NBC
Cicely Tyson-"How to Get Away with Murder"-ABC
I've heard reports that Cicely Tyson is campaigning this year, good for her. I really wish that show didn't suck. Gold Derby has Cherry Jones as the favorite among the two "Succession" nominees. She did win the category last year, but that was for "The Handmaid's Tale". Alexis Bledel has also won in this category for the series and she's back, and deservedly so. Laverne Cox has never won, and it's the last year for her too. Honestly though, I think if they're gonna give the sympathy vote to anyone, it's probably Phylicia Rashad; she's such a great beloved actress and now people can't watch most of her best work anymore. That's a real shame. Also, she deserves it anyway.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Phylicia Rashad-"This Is Us"
OUTSTANDING VARIETY TALK SERIES
The Daily Show with Trevor Noah-Comedy Central
Full Frontal with Samantha Bee-TBS
Jimmy Kimmel Live!-ABC
Last Week Tonight With John Oliver-HBO
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-CBS
The new rules cut these categories nominees significantly, which finally means no more James Corden, although I still think Seth Meyers is getting screwed for Jimmy Kimmel. I've softened on him over the years and he's a good host for these things. Anyway, it doesn't matter, even in a top heavy field as everyone else also keeps getting better, that means the best of the best does as well.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "Last Week Tonight with John Oliver"
OUTSTANDING VARIETY SKETCH SERIES
A Black Lady Sketch Show-HBO
Drunk History-Comedy Central
Saturday Night Live-NBC
WHOA! Okay, they threw this category down into the Creative Arts. I guess, since there's only three nominees this year, since most of the other ones decided to just quit their runs that makes sense. Eh, I guess I'm kinda hoping "Drunk History" could pull off the upset now, who also got canceled right when I was finally starting to appreciate it more. I doubt it though.
PREDICTION: "Saturday Night LIve"
PREFERENCE: "Drunk History"
WINNER!: "Saturday Night Live"
OUTSTANDING VARIETY SPECIAL (LIVE)
73rd Annual Tony Awards-CBS
77th Annual Golden Globe Awards-NBC
Live In Front Of A Studio Audience: "All In The Family" and "Good Times"-ABC
Super Bowl LIV Halftime Show Starring Jennifer Lopez and Shakira-FOX
Another category that once upon a time used to make the main show. I remember when the news programs were on the main show. Those "20/20" vs. "60 Minutes" battles were rough back in the day. I think they have their own Emmys now though. What did I predict for this? Eh, decent Halftime show, weak awards shows this year, eh, yeah, what the hell, let's split the vote and give it to Norman Lear.
PREDICTION: Live In Front of a Studio Audience: "All in the Family" and "Good Times"
PREFERENCE: "Super Bowl LIV Halftime Show Starring Jennifer Lopez and Shakira"
WINNER!: "Live In Front of a Studio Audience: "All in the Family" and "Good Times"
OUTSTANDING VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)
Dave Chappelle: Sticks & Stones-Netflix
Dave Chappelle: The Kennedy Center Mark Twain Prize for American Humor-PBS
Hannah Gadsby: Douglas-Netflix
Jerry Seinfeld: 23 Hours to Kill-Netflix
John Mulaney & The Sack Lunch Bunch-Netflix
Tiffany Haddish: Black Mitzvah-Netflix
The separtion of Live and Pre-Recorded in the Variety Special category is kinda interesting. It basically makes this category a de facto Best Stand-Up Documentary Special category. Being a stand-up lover, I've actually seen all of these. I'm a little concerned that Dave Chappelle's gonna split his own vote, although I do that the Mark Twain Prize is finally getting recognized. I think "Sticks and Stones" is still the favorite though.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "Dave Chappelle: Sticks & Stones"
OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A VARIETY SERIES
A Black Lady Sketch Show-Dime Davis-"Born At Night, But Not Last Night"-HBO
The Daily Show with Trevor Noah-David Paul Meyer-"Dr. Fauci Answers Trevor's Questions About Coronavirus"-Comedy Central
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-Paul Pennolino, Christopher Werner-"Episode 629"-HBO
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-Jim Hoskinson-"Live Show; Chris Christie; Nathaniel Rateliff-CBS
Saturday Night Live-Don Roy King-"Host: Eddie Murphy"-NBC
Tiffany Haddish Presents: The Ready-Linda Mendoze-"Flame Monroe"-Netflix
Who did I predict here "SNL"? Probably "SNL". When you're not sure about the Directing Variety category, it's probably a good bet to go with "SNL".Oh, and it's the Eddie Murphy show too? Then yeah, probably that one.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Don Roy King-"Saturday Night Live"-"Host: Eddie Murphy"
WINNER!: Don Roy King-"Saturday Night Live"-"Host: Eddie Murphy"
OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A VARIETY SPECIAL
73rd Annual Tony Awards-Glenn Weiss-CBS
82nd Grammy Awards-Louis J. Horvitz-CBS
Dave Chappelle: Sticks & Stones-Stan Lathan-Netflix
Live In Front of a Studio Audience: "All in the Family" and "Good Times"-Pamela Fryman, Andy Fisher-ABC
Super Bowl LIV Halftime Starring Jennifer Lopez and Shakira-Hamish Hamilton-FOX
OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A VARIETY SERIES
The Daily Show with Trevor Noah-Senior Writers: Lauren Sarver Means, Daniel Radosh, Writers: Trevor Noah, et. al.-Comedy Central
Full Frontal with Samantha Bee-Writer Supervisors: Nicole Silverberg, Joe Grossman; Head Writers: Kristen Bartlett, Mike Drucker, Melinda Taub; Writers: Samantha Bee, et. al.-TBS
Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-Writers: John Oliver, Tim Carvell, Daniel O'Brien, Charlie Redd, Joanna Rothkopf, Ben Silva and Seena Vali-HBO
Late Night with Seth Meyers-Writer Supervisor: Seth Reiss; Writers: Seth Meyes, et. al.-NBC
The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-Head Writers: Ariel Dumas, Jay Katsir; Writers: Stephen Colbert, et. al.-CBS
This is one of those years where this category ends up at the Creative Arts instead of the main show 'cause of a deal made out with the Writers Guild. (Shrugs) I don't get it either. It's mostly the usual suspects but I suspect "Last Week Tonight..." is firmly ahead, but "The Daily Show..." could pull this off. I thought it might go to Seth Meyers for a bit, but he didn't get into Series.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE; "Last Week Tonight with John Oliver"
WINNER!: "Last Week Tonight with John Oliver"
OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A VARIETY SPECIAL
Dave Chappelle: Sticks & Stones-Dave Chappelle-Netflix
Hannah Gadsby: Douglas-Hannah Gadsby-Netflx
John Mulaney & The Sack Lunch Bunch-John Mulaney, Marika Sawyer-Netflix
Patton Oswalt: I Love Everything-Patton Oswalt-Netflix
Seth Meyers: Lobby Baby-Seth Meyers-Netflix
OUTSTANDING COMPETITION PROGRAM
The Masked Singer-FOX
RuPaul's Drag Race-VH1
It seems a little strange and weird with no "The Amazing Race" in the category. It seems like everyone's got a bit of a clean slate. Yeah, I know, they hadn't been winning in a while, but still, they won for so long and so often that they overshadow the entire category. It means something when another show actually defeats them. And the three shows that have in the past are right here. "RuPaul's Drag Race" has been the leader for the last few years. They're still winning early with some of the technical awards, RuPaul's practically a shoe-in to win for Host again, and they're a dominate 1-3 odds favorite to win the category. And yet..., I don't know, something makes me feel iffy about this favorite. "Top Chef" overperformed, moreso then they should've. The fact Tom Colicchio and Padma Lakshmi snuck into Host for the first time in a over in a decade, and in this year where both the "Queer Eye" guys and the "Shark Tank" crew also got in no less. Also, there's that one newcomer in the category, "The Masked Singer" which caught on the most during the height of the pandemic, but I'm not sure that's a good thing or a bad thing for it.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "Top Chef"
OUTSTANDING STRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM
Love is Blind-Netflix
A Very Brady Renovation-HGTV
Apparently, this is the first ever nomination for any program regarding "The Brady Bunch", which, yeah, sounds about right, and it still feels like one, too many. (Alright, "The Brady Brides" wasn't the worst thing. But seriously, "The Brady Bunch" has always sucked; I can't wait 'til were finally done with nostalgia for it.) I'd like to see "Antiques Roadshow" finally win this, but they seem to always be the bridesmaid. I think it's between "Shark Tank", the only previous winner in the category and "Queer Eye"? We've gotta be tired of "Shark Tank" by now, right?
PREDICTION: "Queer Eye"
PREFERENCE: "Antiques Roadshow"
WINNER!: "Queer Eye"
OUTSTANDING UNSTRUCTURED REALITY PROGRAM
Amy Schumer Learns to Cook: Lunch Break and Pasta Night-Food Network
Kevin Hart: Don't Fuck This Up-Netflix
RuPaul's Drag Race: Untucked-VH1
I don't know what to make of this category this year. A bunch of first year nominees, and a side-reality show to the bigger reality-competition show. There's some celebrity stuff, there's a docuseries on cheerleaders that seems ot be popular and two series about drag, oddly. You know, I gotta be honest, I don't really entirely RuPaul's Drag Race. Like, I don't hate it, but, I feel like I'm missing something with it. Like, it seems like a talent show? Is it, like beauty show, or whichever has the best story.... Maybe I should jump to later seasons to try to decipher it, but it just seemed like too odd a set of criteria to be interested in, but I'm probably missing a greater context.... As to this category, eh, the one I know and like is Amy Schumer's show, I guess I'll predict that one as well.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "Amy Schumer Learns to Cook: Lunch Break and Pasta Night"
OUTSTANDING HOST FOR A REALITY OR COMPETITION PROGRAM
Bobby Berk, Karamo Brown, Tan France, Antoni Porowski, Jonathan Van Ness-"Queer Eye"-Netflix
Nicole Byer-"Nailed It!"-Netflix
Barbara Corcoran, Mark Cuban, Lori Greiner, Daymond John, Robert Herjavec, Kevin O'Leary-"Shark Tank"-ABC
Padma Lakshmi, Tom Colicchio-"Top Chef"-Bravo
Amy Poehler, Nick Offerman-"Making It"-NBC
Rupaul-"RuPaul's Drag Race"-VH1
How did seventeen people end up nominated in this category! The "Queer Eye" crew got in for the first time; the big shock is that the "Shark Tank" crew, who had never submitted as host before, getting in. Good for them, it's not like they're rich multi-billionaire entrepreneurs who own everything; it's nice to see them get a break. (Sigh, yeah, I am so done with "Shark Tank" at this point. I mean, it's a good show, but I"m just done with it.) The only singular nominees are Nicole Byer for "Nailed It" and of course RuPaul who's tied the record with Jeff Probst for most wins in the category. I think she's gonna get it.
PREDICTION: Rupaul-"Rupaul's Drag Race"
PREFERENCE: Padma Lakshmi, Tom Colicchio-"Top Chef"
LIMITED SERIES/TV MOVIE
OUTSTANDING LIMITED SERIES
Little Fires Everywhere-Hulu
Mrs. America-FX Networks
"Watchmen" is the biggest show at the Emmys this year. It has the most nominations, it's arguably the most popular program this past year, as well as the most influential and arguably the one wth the most cultural impact and importance among the nominees. I'll get to it eventually, but per my usualy modus operandi, I don't usually watch or have too many opinions on these categories so no preferences with these picks here, just going by patterns, odds, and any other hunches and information I can get ahold of for these. That said, this feels like an easy call.
OUTSTANDING TELEVISION MOVIE
Dolly Parton's Heartstrings: These Old Bones-Netflix
El Camino: A Breaking Bad Movie-Netflix
Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. The Reverend-Netflix
Well, we got a couple actual television movies and not movies that were streaming because that's just how movies are now, and then a couple movie sequels to television movies, including that's actually an interactive feature film. I actually did watch that one, and it was pretty funny-as-hell, actually. "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt" is generally underrated by the public and the Emmys; I never understood why it never got more love. Also, there's- whatever the hell the Dolly Parton thing is. "Bad Education" is the minor favorite, mainly because it was probably the most promoted as a TV movie, but I don't know, it got as many nominations as anything else in the category. (Shrugs) Eh, I'll just go with the one I watch, probably the best of the bunch anyway.
PREDICTION: "Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. The Reverend"
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Hugh Jackman-"Bad Education"-HBO
Mark Ruffalo-"I Know This Much Is True"-HBO
Paul Mescal-"Normal People"-Hulu
Mark Ruffalo is listed as the favorite at Gold Derby, which makes sense, he's long overdue, but that's also sorta exactly why I don't think he's wins, again. (Shrugs) I mean, why change tradition now. Now, who does win? Jeremy Irons seems like a safe pick here, but I don't know, he wasn't the center of "Watchmen" the way Regina King's performance is. Hmmm, I'm not sure the Academy saw "Normal People" or "I Know This Much is True", but I do think they all saw "Hollywood".
PREDICTION: Jeremy Pope-"Hollywood"
OUTSTANDING LEAD ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Cate Blanchett-"Mrs. America"-FX Networks
Octavia Spencer-"Self Made: Inspired By the Life of Madam C.J. Walker"-Netflix
Kerry Washington-"Little Fires Everywhere"-Hulu
For those a little frustrated at this, Kerry Washington did indeed win an Emmy this year as a producer for "Live in Front of a Studio Audience...." so-eh, don't be too sad at her not winning this. (Sorry) Sorry, Regina King's a nominee, she wins everything automatically, and now everybody actually wants her to win.
PREDICTION: Regina King-"Watchmen"
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Tituss Burgess-"Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt: Kimmy vs. The Reverend"-Netflix
Louis Gossett Jr.-"Watchmen"-HBO
BTW, I'm not exactly sure how "Hollywood" missed Series; it got twelve nominations including a lot of big ones. Even in a five-series field, it looks weird, but oh well. I guess the series branches are as sick of Ryan Murphy as I am, but everybody did see it. Jim Parsons has been labeled since the minute it hit on Netflix. Even in a loaded field against a lot of great actors, most of them from "Watchmen", plus his co-star Dylan McDermott, and surprisingly and happily-for-me, Tituss Burgess. If I had a preference for these, I'd be picking him; he's gotten robbed, but I'm not convinced enough to predict him.
PREDICTION: Jim Parsons-"Hollywood"
OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Uzo Aduba-"Mrs. America"-FX Networks
Margo Martindale-"Mrs. America"-FX Networks
Tracey Ullman-"Mrs. America"-FX Networks
This is a very interesting category, if for no other reason then the fact that there's multiple Emmy standbys who usually win by default most of the time, competing against each other. There's three from "Mrs. America" up, but it seems like Jean Smart is the favorite according to the odds. Eh, I'm just gonna go with it.
PREDICTION: Jean Smart-"Watchmen"
OUTSTANDING DIRECTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Lenny Abrahamson-"Normal People"-"Episode 5"-Hulu
Steph Green-"Watchmen"-"Little Fear of Lightning"-HBO
Nicole Kassell-"Watchmen"-"It's Summer and We're Running Out of Ice"-HBO
Lynn Shelton-"Little Fires Everywhere"-"Find a Way"-Hulu
Stephen Williams-"Watchmen"-"This Extraordinary Being"-HBO
Oh boy, three nominees for "Watchmen", but that's actually not a great sign for Directing Limited Series or Movie categories. Not only do the votes get split, but your up against other nominees like Maria Schrader who directed the whole miniseries. As well as, the sentimental vote going to the late Lynn Shelton who can spoiler here. Lenny Abrahamson is also a major film director, most known for "Room" a couple years ago, so he's also a possibility. I think "Watchmen"'s gonna falter here.
PREDICTION: Lynn Shelton-"Little Fires Everywhere"
OUTSTANDING WRITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
Mrs. America-Tanya Barfield-"Shirley"-FX Networks
Normal People-Sally Rooney, Alice Birch-"Episode 3"-Hulu
Unbelievable-Susannah Grant, Michael Chabon, Ayelet Waldman-"Episode 1"-Netflix
Unorthodox-Anna Winger-"Part 1"-Netflix
Watchmen-Damon Lindelof, Cord Jefferson-"This Extraordinary Being"-HBO
Hmmm. Well, no complete miniseries up against episodes here, so need to worry about that here. There's a few big names here, but I'm just gonna presume "Watchmen''s the heavy favorite and go with it. Besides the biggest name is Damon Lindelof, so....
PREDICTION: "Watchmen"-"This Everyordinary Being"
OUTSTANDING ANIMATED PROGRAM
Big Mouth-"Disclosure The Movie: The Musical!"-Netflix
Bob's Burgers-"Pig Trouble In Little Tina"-FOX
BoJack Horseman-"The View From Halfway Down"-Netflix
Rick and Morty-"The Vat of Acid Episodes"-Adult Swim
This was the final season for "Bojack Horseman" which I think makes that the preferred favorite at the moment. I'll be honest, unlike most, I think I'm the one person who could just never fully endorse that show. I don't hate it, but I've struggled to get through it; it's genuinely difficult for me to sit down and watch it sometimes. Not as frustrating as I think "Rick & Morty" is, which I actually find much more idiosyncratic and annoying but yeah, "Bojack...", I'll get through it one day. I appreciate it, but it's never been my favorite.
PREDICTION: "Bojack Horseman"
PREFERENCE: "Bob's Burgers"
OUTSTANDING SHORT-FORM ANIMATED PROGRAM
Forky Asks a Question: What is Love?-DisneyXD
Robot Chicken-"Santa's Dead (Spoiler Alert) Holiday Murder Thing Special"-Adult Swim
Steven Universe Future-"Fragments"-Cartoon Network
Category cut to three due to rule changed. "Forky Asks a Question: What is Love?" is purportedly the favorite at the moment. I guess it'd be nice to see the "Toy Story" related short get in here; I think I would've preferred such a short show up, like before a film like "Mulan" in theaters, and I'm certain Disney felt that way too. I think this is "Steven Universe"'s last year though, and I'm betting the sentimental vote gets it through.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "Steven Universe Future"
WINNER!: "Forky Asks a Question: What is Love?"
OUTSTANDING CHARACTER VOICE-OVER PERFORMANCE
Hank Azaria-"The Simpsons"-"Frinkcoin"-FOX
Nancy Cartwright-"The Simpsons"-"Better Off Ned"-FOX
Leslie Odom, Jr.-"Central Park"-"Episode One"-Apple TV
Maya Rudolph-"Big Mouth"-"How To Have An Orgasm"-Netflix
Wanda Sykes-"Crank Yankers"-"Bobby Brown, Wanda Sykes & Kathy Griffin"-Comedy Central
Taika Waititi-"The Mandalorian"-"Chapter 8: Redemption"-Disney+
Tricky category this year. The way "The Mandalorian" is taking all the technical awards, this feels like its best shot to win any kind of performance awards and Waititi is the odds-on favorite. Part of me also suspects this might be the best spot to award Maya Rudolph as well; it's hard for me to say if the Academy's actually watching "Big Mouth" or not, but I feel like it's either that, or they honor somebody from "The Simpsons" again.
PREDICTION: Taika Waititi-"The Mandalorian"
PREFERENCE: Maya Rudolph-"Bog Mouth"
WINNER!: Maya Rudolph-"Big Mouth"
OUTSTANDING DOCUMENTARY OR NONFICTION SERIES
The Last Dance-ESPN
Tiger King: Murder, Mayhem and Madness-Netflix
Well, in the suddenly-everybody-cares-about-this-category department, the documentary or nonfiction series category is shockingly interesting now. Believe it or not, I'm the one person who hasn't gotten around to "Tiger King..." or "The Last Dance", so I strangely don't have too much of an opinion here. But as to make a prediction, I feel like "Tiger King..." is probably the odds on favorite.
PREDICTION: "Tiger King: Murder, Mayhem and Madness"
PREFERENCE: "American Masters"
OUTSTANDING DOCUMENTARY OR NONFICTION SPECIAL
Beastie Boys Story-Apple TV+
The Great Hack-Netflix
Laurel Canyon: A Place in Time-EPIX
Not sure what to say about all these doc categories. I just saw "Echo of the Canyon" literally yesterday, so I'm definitely interested in seeing "Laurel Canyon: A Place in Time" at the moment. I don't really have a preference nor have I seen any of these; I just went with the one that I heard the most about.
PREDICTION: "The Apollo"
WINNER!: "The Apollo"
OUTSTANDING HOSTED NONFICTION SERIES OR SPECIAL
Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee-Netflix
Leah Remini: Scientology and the Aftermath-A&E
The World According to Jeff Goldblum-Disney+
This used to be called the "Informational Series or Special" category; I guess they wanted more clarification so these or those kinds of programs that are led by or guided by a host. "Inside the Actors' Studio" was the perennial past nominee that I always think of with this category. It's always a tough and tricky category, and one that I apparently already got wrong on my Gold Derby predictions. (Sigh) Apparently, I went with "Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee"; I don't know why I did that in hindsight. That was stupid of me, I guess I thought they were trying to give it something. Oh well.
PREDICTION: "Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee"
PREFERENCE: "Leah Remini: Scientology and the Aftermath"
WINNER!: "Leah Remini: Scientology and the Aftermath"
EXCEPTIONAL MERIT IN DOCUMENTARY FILMMAKING
The Cave-National Geographic
Chasing the Moon (American Experience)-PBS
Moonlight Sonata: Deafness In Three Movements-HBO
One Child Nation-PBS
I've seen two of these, "The Cave" and "One Child Nation" are both amazing. This is a juried prize that's honors the technical craft of documentary filmmaking that expands the craft of it, which makes this category a little tricky. but just base on my own instincts....
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "The Cave"
OUTSTANDING SHORT FORM COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES
Better Call Saul Employee Training: Legal Ethics With Kim Wexler-AMC.com
The Good Place Presents: The Selection-NBC
Most Dangerous Game-Quibi
Star Trek: Short Treks-CBS All Access
Gold Derby didn't put odds on these categories, but I'm gonna mention the Short-Forms; I think they're competitive and there's some interest in them. At least there would be if anybody bought Quibi. They pop up here, with "Most Dangerous Game" and "Reno 911!", which is actually the first time that show's ever been nominated. I suspect "Better Call Saul" is the favorite though, would be nice to see Rhea Seehorn finally get appreciated for something.
PREDICTION: "Better Call Saul Employee Training: Legal Ethics With Kim Wexler"
PREFERENCE: "Reno 911!"
WINNER!: "Better Call Saul Employee Training: Legal Ethics with Kim Wexler"
OUTSTANDING SHORT-FORM VARIETY SERIES
Beeing At Home with Samantha Bee-TBS
Between Two Ferns with Zach Galifianakis: The Movie, Sorta, Uncut Interviews-Netflix
Carpool Kareoke: The Series-Apple Music
Jimmy Kimmel's Quarantine Minilogues-YouTube/JimmyKimmelLive
The Randy Rainbow Show-YoutTube
This category got way more compelling, especially now that it's mostly just, the variety show category in pandemic quarantine mode. "Carpool Kareoke"'s back threatening to win again, and something called "The Randy Rainbow Show". It's been nominated before, it's this weird guy who does satire song parodies.... (Shrugs) He's fine; I don't quite get why he's getting in with the rest of these nominees, but he's fine and he paid the submission fee, so sure. Gold Derby didn't put out a line on this category; I'm not sure how to rate it myself. I'm just gonna predict the one I want to win here.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "Being At Home with Samantha Bee
WINNER!: "Carpool Kareoke: The Series"
OUTSTANDING SHORT-FORM NONFICTION OR REALITY SERIES
Between The Scenes-"The Daily Show"-Comedy Central
Full Frontal With Samantha Bee Presents: Pandemic Video Diaries-TBS
National Geographic Presents Cosmos: Creating Possible Worlds-National Geographic
Pose: Identity, Family, Community-FX Networks
RuPaul's Drag Race Out of the Closet-VH1
Man, "RuPaul's Drag Race" has a lot of side shows. Then again, some of these are just-, I mean, I like "Between the Scenes" too, but it's just Trevor Noah talking during commercial breaks and somebody leaving the camera on. I guess if any of them feel relevent, then Samantha Bee's pandemic show might have the best shot here.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: "Full Frontal with Samantha Bee Presents: Pandemic Video Diaries"
WINNER!: "National Geographic Presents Cosmos: Creating Possible Worlds"
OUTSTANDING ACTOR IN A SHORT FORM COMEDY OR DRAMA SERIES
Christoph Waltz-"Most Dangerous Game"-Quibi
Mamoudou Athie-"Oh Jerome, No (Cake)"-FX Networks
Eh, I'lls ay this, Quibi did attract the biggest and best actors. It's a cheap to win an Emmy, but they probably do deserve it. 8/10 acting nominations in the Short-Form Comedy or Drama Series category are for this new upstart network that still people will watching "The Fugitive" on your phone is the key to that franchise's fifth or sixth attemtped TV reboot to finally succeed. I will make fun of this network until all its programming is finally bought out by Netflix, I swear. Anyway, tough call for me between Laurence Fishburne and Christoph Waltz; I think it's a toss-up between the show with the Series nomination and the biggest name from the show with the most acting nominations. I'm just gonna flip a coin on this one.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Laurence Fishburne-"#FreeRayshawn"
WINNER!: Laurence Fishburne-"#FreeRayshawn"
OUTSTANDING ACTRESS IN A SHORT-FORM COMEDY OR DRAMA
Jasmine Cephas Jones-"#FreeRayshawn"-Quibi
Rain Valdez-"Razor Tongue"-YouTube Now
Kerri Kenney-Silver-"Reno 911!"-Quibi
I can't believe is when they finally decide to nominate Kaitlin Olson for something. Anyway, I think its between Kendrick and Kenney-Silver, with Jasmine Cephas Jones possibly playing spoiler. I did manage to see an episode of "Razor Tongue", it's pretty funny; I'm not sure how many voters bothered to see it though. Or see any of these, but I think they'll recognize "Reno 911!"
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE: Kerri Kenney-Silver-"Reno 911!"
WINNER!: Jasmine Cephas Jones-"#FreeRayshawn"
OUTSTANDING CHILDREN'S PROGRAM
Jim Henson's The Dark Crystal: Age of Resistance-Netflix
Star Wars Resistance-Disney Channel
We Are The Dreams: The Kids of The Oakland MLK Oratorical Fest-HBO
God, how many "Star Wars" shows are there? (Sigh) Eh, no real preference here and Gold Derby didn't put up a line on it, but it's a series category, and kind of a big one, normally but, hmmm.... (Shrugs) It's adults voting on kids programs, I'm just gonna take a shot on the one that kids will probably least likely want to see. No preference here.
PREDICTION: "We Are The Dreams: The Kids of the Oakland MLK Oratorical Fest"
Back-to-School Essentials-Sandy Hook Promise
Groundhog Day-Jeep (Fiat Chrysler Automobiles [FCA])
You know, I mentioned that I liked the "Before Alexa" commerical originally, but now that I look at, it's actually quite disturbing. "What did we do Before Alexa?" People! Who are now unemployed, or were slaves of some kind. Doesn't help either that Ellen and Portia are the centerpiece of it either, why do I get the eerie feeling this was her idea. Anyway, I liked the rest to varying degree. I think it's between "The Look" and "Back-to-School Essentials", the two clearly political commercials. They're both essential; I think the Sandy Hood Promise one is too powerful to ignore, and "The Look", is good, but I'm not crazy about how it filmed to a degree. The steadicam reveal shot in particular just kinda annoyed me; I also kinda just felt it was a bit, ehhh. There was something off about it for me.
PREDICTION: "Back-to-School Essentials"-Sandy Hook Promise
PREFERRENCE: "Bounce"-Apple AirPods
OUTSTANDING ORIGINAL MUSIC AND LYRICS
"Letter To My Godfather"-The Black Godfather-Music & Lyrics: Pharrell Williams, Chad Hugo-Netflix
"All For Us"-Euphoria-Music & Lyrics: Labrinth-HBO
"Eat Shit, Bob"-Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-Music: David Dabbon; Lyrics: Joanna Rothkopf, Jill Twiss, Senna Vali-HBO
"Build It Up"-Little Fires Everywhere-Music & Lyrics: Ingrid Michaelson-Hulu
"One Less Angel"-The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel-Music & Lyrics: Thomas Mizer, Curtis Moore
"Memorized"-This Is Us"-Music & Lyrics: Siddhartha Khosta, Taylor Goldsmith-NBC
"The Way It Used To be"-Watchmen-Music & Lyrics: Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross-HBO
A record seven nomination in this category, that's continuously gotten more and more competitive over the years. When I made my Gold Derby ballot, I predicted what I thought would be the most memorable and notable of the nominees, but for this I decided to listen to all the songs outright, and if possible in context to the program they were apart of, and for the most part, these are great songs. I'm not crazy about Pharrell's use of autotune on his song; I think that made it worst, but other then that, these are good songs. I gotta watch "Euphoria" at some point just ot see what the hell is going on in that thing, Anyway, despite a loaded field, I think I still made the right call on this one.
PREDICTION/PREFERENCE-"Eat Shit, Bob"-"Last Week Tonight with John Oliver"
WINNER!: "All for Us"-"Euphoria"
OUTSTANDING ORIGINAL MAIN TITLE THEME SONG
Carnival Row-Nathan Barr-Prime Video
Defending Jacob-Olafur Arnalds-Apple TV+
Why We Hate-Laura Karpman-Discovery Channel
Wu-Tang: An American Saga-The Rza-Hulu
This one, I really regret voting before I heard all the nominees. It's not the greatest batch either, only "Wu-Tang..." has a song with actual lyrics, and the most of the rest are fairly classical little themes and the only one that's indistinguishable from the rest is "Hollywood". (Well, "Why We Hate" is pretty good too.) Unfortunately, I somehow picked the shortest and worst of the bunch in my opinion to win, so-eh, don't follow me on this one.
OUTSTANDING MAIN TITLE DESIGN
Abstract: The Art of Design-Netflix
Carnival Row-Prime Video
Godfather of Harlem-EPIX
The Morning Show-Apple TV+
Honestly, I would've skipped this category here if not for Gold Derby putting a line on it. It is a favorite category of mine though. When it came to the prediction, I just went with "Watchmen", odds-on favorite. I didn't actually love it that much, but I think it will win. "The Morning Show"'s was clever, it kinda reminded me of the old Chuck Jones short, "The Dot and the Line", and anything that reminds me of that in a positive light is a good thing to me. Personally, I preferred "The Politican" and "Godfather of Harlem"'s opening the most, and if I have to narrow it down, I'd go with "The Politician" because it required more original footage to be created. I suspect it's a battle between "Watchmen" and "The Morning Show" though.
PREFERENCE: "The Politician"
OUTSTANDING MUSIC COMPOSITION FOR A SERIES (ORIGINAL DRAMATIC SCORE)
The Crown-Martin Phipps-Netflix
The Mandalorian-Ludwig Goransson-Disney+
Ozark-Danny Bensi, Saunder Jurriaans-Netflix
Again, I wouldn't normally predict this category without a Gold Derby ballot being around and now one I even have much of an opinion on; this is mostly a category that's for the GOT followers. Also, I'm not having a preference, since I'm not gonna go through and listen to the whole scores. Ummm, that said, "The Mandalorian" and "Succession" are the favorite, mainly 'cause they're the bigger named composers. I have no preference, so I'm taking a shot wiht the new kid. I'm gonna take a shot with the new kid.
OUTSTANDING MUSIC COMPOSITION FOR A LIMITED SERIES, MOVIE OR SPECIAL (ORIGINAL DRAMATIC SCORE)
Little Fires Everywhere-Mark Isham, Isabella Summer-Hulu
Mrs. America-Kris Bowers-FX Networks
Eh, this is where I predicted Trent & Atticus winning. I think Nathan Barr, could spoil this for "Hollywood", but I think he's more likely to win in Theme Song. Boy Trent Reznor and Ross are suddenly shockingly close to an EGOT; he could be the first person to have an EGOT and be in the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame. Oh, btw, congrats on Nine Inch Nails finally getting inducted into that. So-eh, I hope they're getting a Broadway show going soon enough. If you're my age, that just feels so surreal.